Report on the Latin American economy. Second half of 2026
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The Report on the Latin American economy for the second half of 2026 highlights the region's resilience to geopolitical and trade tensions and higher energy prices, albeit with modest growth prospects, persistent core inflation and fiscal vulnerabilities. The 2026 growth forecast edges down from 2.2% to 2%.
Key points
- Financial conditions eased until September, but currencies are sensitive to expectations for US interest rates.
- Monetary policy remains restrictive in Brazil and Colombia and closer to neutral in Chile, Mexico and Peru.
- Boxes on data centres, Argentina, public debt and bank capitalisation, and payment innovation.
Who is affected
Banks and investors exposed to Latin America and Spanish firms operating in the region.
Plain-language version
The Bank of Spain says Latin America is coping well with trade tensions and higher energy prices, but growth will be weak: it cuts its 2026 forecast from 2.2% to 2%. This matters in Spain because many Spanish banks and companies do a lot of business there.
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Summary produced with artificial intelligence from the official publication. It may contain errors: always check the original document.
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